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Documentation Index

Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://hc.pillargtm.com/llms.txt

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Forecast Confidence Score

The forecast confidence score measures how reliable a deal forecast is. Higher scores indicate more confidence that the deal will close as predicted. This helps sales leaders build more accurate forecasts.

What It Measures

PILLAR evaluates forecast confidence across multiple dimensions:
  • Stage Probability — Where the deal sits in your pipeline and historical close rates at that stage
  • Deal Hygiene — Whether the deal has clean data, next steps, and contacts mapped
  • Engagement Velocity — Recent meeting cadence and stakeholder interaction
  • Competitor Risk — Whether a competitor is active and how well-positioned you are
  • Executive Engagement — Whether exec-level stakeholders are involved
  • Historical Performance — Win rate patterns for similar deals
  • Procurement Alignment — Starbridge-enhanced understanding of the buyer’s procurement process, cooperative purchasing pathways, and fiscal year timing

Procurement Alignment (Starbridge-Enhanced)

When Starbridge data is available, PILLAR factors in institutional procurement complexity, cooperative purchasing pathways (like NASPO, PEPPM, BuyBoard), and fiscal year alignment. This helps forecast accuracy by accounting for procurement-driven delays or accelerations.

PILLAR Forecast Categories

PILLAR uses a 5-band forecast system with probability-weighted amounts:
CategoryDescription
WonClosed and booked
CommitRep commits to closing this period
ProbableStrong likelihood but not committed
UpsidePossible but uncertain
ProjectionLong-shot or stretch target

Forecast Bands

BandIncludes
Low BandWon + Commit
Medium Band+ Probable
High Band+ Upside
Moonshot Band+ Projection

Opportunity Quality

Beyond forecast confidence, PILLAR evaluates overall deal quality including deal size, win probability, competitive positioning, buyer readiness, rep performance history, expansion readiness, engagement quality, procurement clarity, strategic value, and fiscal timing.

Customization

All forecast confidence variables, opportunity quality rules, and category probability weights are configurable per organization.
  • Deal stage close probabilities — Navigate to Settings → Configuration → Deal Stages to override the default probability for each CRM stage name. Unrecognized stages fall back to 15%.
  • Forecast category weights — Navigate to Settings → Configuration → Pipeline Weights to adjust how each forecast category (Commit, Probable, Upside, Projection) contributes to weighted pipeline.
  • Signal-triggering thresholds — Navigate to Settings → Configuration → Segments & Thresholds to configure the score levels that generate forecast-related signals.
Detailed scoring methodology, including exact variable weights, rule definitions, and probability calculations, is available in the PILLAR Implementation Guide provided to active customers.